2024 First Quarter Commentary

2024 First Quarter Commentary

The US economy and risk assets generally continued to perform well in the first quarter, while core fixed income underperformed as interest rates rose marginally. This strength fell on the back of a strong and better than expected 2023. The S&P 500 was up 10% in...
Market & Economic Insight

Market & Economic Insight

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) went unchanged in October and is up 3.2% year-over-year. This was below the consensus estimate and the markets celebrated with the S&P 500 gaining 1.91% and the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index rising 1.19% on November 14th, the day...
2023 Third Quarter Commentary

2023 Third Quarter Commentary

At the beginning of the year, most economic forecasters predicted the US would be in or entering a recession by now. Instead, the US economy was very strong in the third quarter with the Atlanta FED GDPNow forecast estimating 4.9% real GDP growth. This strong growth...
2023 Second Quarter Commentary

2023 Second Quarter Commentary

The economy and the markets proved to be more resilient than nearly everyone anticipated in the second quarter. The economic data has been surprising to the upside with the Citi Economic Surprise index nearing the highs of its historical range. While we still expect...
2023 First Quarter Commentary

2023 First Quarter Commentary

The first quarter began with better-than-expected economic conditions and healthy returns in the stock and bond markets. This economic strength then turned from a positive attribute for the market to a negative as the bond market began pricing in more interest rate...